gardner report August 4, 2017

The Gardner Report – Second Quarter 2017

Economic Overview

The Washington State economy has been expanding at a rapid pace but we are seeing a slowdown as the state grows closer to full employment. Given the solid growth, I would expect to see income growth move markedly higher, though this has yet to materialize. I anticipate that we will see faster income growth in the second half of the year. I still believe that the state will add around 70,000 jobs in 2017.

Washington State, as well as the markets that make up Western Washington, continue to see unemployment fall. The latest state-wide report now shows a rate of 4.5%—the lowest rate since data started to be collected in 1976.

I believe that growth in the state will continue to outperform the U.S. as a whole and, with such robust expansion, I would not be surprised to see more people relocate here as they see Washington as a market that offers substantial opportunity.

Home Sales Activity

  • There were 23,349 home sales during the second quarter of 2017. This is an increase of 1.1% from the same period in 2016.
  • Clallam County maintains its position as number one for sales growth over the past 12 months. Double-digit gains in sales were seen in just three other counties, which is a sharp drop from prior reports. I attribute this to inventory constraints rather than any tangible drop in demand. The only modest decline in sales last quarter was seen in Grays Harbor County.
  • The number of homes for sale, unfortunately, showed no improvement, with an average of just 9,279 listings in the quarter, a decline of 20.4% from the second quarter of 2016. Pending sales rose by 3.6% relative to the same quarter a year ago.
  • The key takeaway from this data is that it is unlikely we will see a significant increase in the number of homes for sale for the rest of 2017.

Home Prices

  • Along with the expanding economy, home prices continue to rise at very robust rates. Year-over-year, average prices rose 14.9%. The region’s average sales price is now $470,187.
  • Price growth in Western Washington continues to impress as competition for the limited number of homes for sale remains very strong. With little easing in supply, we anticipate that prices will continue to rise at above long-term averages.
  • When compared to the same period a year ago, price growth was most pronounced in San Juan County where sale prices were 29.2% higher than second quarter of 2016. Eight additional counties experienced double-digit price growth.
  • The specter of rising interest rates failed to materialize last quarter, but this actually functioned to get more would-be buyers off the fence and into the market. This led to even more demand which translated into rising home prices.

Days on Market

  • The average number of days it took to sell a home in the quarter dropped by 18 days when compared to the same quarter of 2016.
  • King County remains the tightest market; homes, on average, sold in a remarkable 15 days. Every county in this report saw the length of time it took to sell a home drop from the same period a year ago.
  • Last quarter, it took an average of 48 days to sell a home. This is down from the 66 days it took in the second quarter of 2016.
  • Given the marked lack of inventory, I would not be surprised to see the length of time it takes to sell a home drop further before the end of the year.

Conclusions

This speedometer reflects the state of the region’s housing market using housing inventory, price gains, home sales, interest rates, and larger economic factors. For the second quarter of 2017, I moved the needle a little more in favor of sellers. To define the Western Washington market as “tight” is somewhat of an understatement.

Inventory is short and buyers are plentiful.

Something must give, but unless we see builders delivering substantially more units than they have been, it will remain staunchly a sellers’ market for the balance of the year.

Furthermore, increasing mortgage rates have failed to materialize and, with employment and income growth on the rise, the regional housing market will continue to be very robust.

 

Matthew Gardner is the Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate, specializing in residential market analysis, commercial/industrial market analysis, financial analysis, and land use and regional economics. He is the former Principal of Gardner Economics, and has over 25 years of professional experience both in the U.S. and U.K.

 

This article originally appeared on the Windermere.com blog.

Local Market Update July 21, 2017

Local Market Update – July 2017

It was another month of record-setting home prices in June as the area yet again took the prize for the hottest real estate market in the country. In a bright spot for buyers, the number of new listings added in June was the highest total for any single month since May 2008. While inventory is still low, the pace of sales is slowing and the number of multiple offers are down, suggesting that we may soon see a slight reprieve from the last year of rapid-fire growth.

Eastside

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The median price of a single-family home on the Eastside soared 19 percent from a year ago to a new record-high of $885,000. Despite that increase, multiple offers—while down—are still common. With most buyers presenting offers on multiple properties before purchasing a home, working with a broker to create a strong strategic plan, clear negotiating parameters, and a streamlined offer are critical for success.

King County

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The median price of a single-family home in King County climbed 14 percent over a year ago to a new record of $653,000. Inventory remains extremely tight, and homes are selling very quickly. According to a broker analysis, 80-to-90 percent of sellers in the Puget Sound area are accepting offers on their homes within 30 days of listing. In hot neighborhoods, that number can be just a few days.

Seattle

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Seattle home prices are rising at the fastest rate in nation. U.S. Census data shows Seattle is gaining about 1,100 residents week. With supply unable to keep up with soaring demand, prices just keep climbing. The median price for a single-family home in Seattle jumped 13 percent over a year ago to $750,000. The increase in the number of $1 million-plus homes in the city was among the highest in the country.

Snohomish County

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Buyers looking to get more home for their dollar continue to make the move north to Snohomish County. Demand is so high that new construction homes are selling before they’re built, with many new homes not even hitting the market. The median price of a single-family home sold in June increased 14 percent over the same time last year to $450,000, unchanged from last month’s record high.

buying July 7, 2017

What Buyers Should Expect in Our Record-Breaking Market

We knew Seattle area home prices were growing – and quickly – but just how much and how fast? Enough that we surpassed Portland, Dallas, and other major metro areas to top the country for home price growth for the seventh straight month. According to the monthly Case-Shiller home price index, single-family home prices across the Seattle metro area in March increased 12.3 percent from a year prior – the fastest growth in more than three years.

This rapid increase stems from the fact that there are more interested buyers than homes for sale. This imbalance means bidding wars are not only common, but they should be expected. New data shows about 90 percent of houses for sale in Seattle over the last two months wound up in bidding wars. Compare that to three years ago when 71 percent of homes attracted multiple offers and the beginning of the decade when less than half did. Additionally, this fierce competition has spread outside of the city of Seattle to affect the entire metro area. It has been reported that home prices have set records in places an hour’s drive from Seattle in every direction.

What does all of this mean for buyers?

It is taking qualified buyers six months to a year to purchase a home because they keep losing in multiple offer situations, some of which have been won by offers of more than $100,000 above asking price. Eager buyers are waiving contingencies and inspections, submitting more cash offers, and submitting escalating bids on houses sight unseen.

If you are looking to buy a home, it is more important than ever for you to have a knowledgeable, experienced team by your side to help you navigate our hot market. We would appreciate the opportunity to help you rise above the competition to find and secure your dream home.

Source: The Seattle Times

Local Market Update June 23, 2017

Local Market Update – June 2017

The hottest real estate market in the country just keeps getting hotter. Despite a large number of new listings, home prices in the Puget Sound area continued to set records in May. According to a Seattle Times article, “For the first time since the 2007 housing bubble, every county in the central Puget Sound region has set a new median home price record.” Brokers hope this news will help entice more sellers to put their homes on the market.

Eastside

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While down just slightly from its record high last month, the median price of a single-family home on the Eastside was up 15 percent from a year ago to $875,000. With just three weeks of inventory, those looking to buy a home can continue to count on a highly competitive market. It is key for buyers to work with a broker on a buying strategy, and to be willing to act quickly to make an offer.

King County

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King County is starved for inventory. The number of homes for sale in the county dropped 20 percent from a year ago. The good news: The number of new listings year-over-year grew for the first time in 2017. The bad news: They’re getting snapped up as soon as they come on the market. The median price of a single-family home in King County jumped 13 percent over a year ago to a new record of $632,000.

Seattle

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Seattle is the fastest growing city in the country, and that demand is driving prices ever higher. That demand combined with razor-thin inventory has resulted in Seattle topping the nation in bidding wars. As a result, it’s no surprise that home prices here set yet another record in May. The median price for a single-family home in Seattle soared 14 percent over a year ago to $729,000.

Snohomish County

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A steady stream of buyers being priced out of King County have set their sights north in hopes of finding a more affordable house payment. While home prices here are indeed less, that gap has been slowly closing. The median price of a single-family home jumped 15 percent over the same time last year to $450,000, an all-time record.

buying June 9, 2017

How People Buy Homes Today

Today’s buyers use a lot of resources in their home search – and 92% count on a real estate agent to help them purchase their home.

How People Buy Homes Today

If you’re looking to buy or sell your home, reach out to a Windermere Real Estate broker to help you successfully navigate the Seattle housing market.

This post originally appeared on the Windermere Eastside blog.

real estate May 22, 2017

Our Latest Highlands Listing

real estate March 15, 2017

Buyer Pre-Inspections: Seattle Home Buyers Paying For Inspections Before Writing Offers

The Seattle real estate market is Hot, Hot, Hot – home inventory is scarce, and buyers are plenty.  Home sellers will likely find they’re in the catbird seat. Unlike in years past, sellers have more options at their disposal – and one of the most common strategies, is encouraging all buyers to perform (and pay for) a “Pre-Inspection” before they place an offer to purchase your home.

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The primary advantage of a buyer-performed pre-inspection is that it allows the seller to keep the home “Active” and on the market for other potential buyers to also consider placing offers. In an exceptionally tight market where multiple offers can be expected, this will likely allow the seller to review offers which have waived an inspection contingency. Once an offer is accepted, this means it’s likely the only remaining roadblock to closing is financing, unless it’s an all-cash purchase.

A Call To End Pre-Inspections

Earlier this week, I read a blog post by another successful Coldwell Banker agent here in Seattle, in which they propose an end to buyers performing pre-inspections. In the post, the author cited a recent sale where the seller attracted multiple offers and a higher price by allowing the traditional Pending Inspection period after going under contract. The sale apparently closed successfully, and everyone was happy – which is perfect of course. But, this left me wondering, “what if” the buyers had walked? (I elaborate more on this below.)

I’m in 100% agreement with the call to “take a deep breath” in this too-often crazy real estate market – and not get carried away. However, I respectfully disagree with the suggestion that pre-inspections are a disservice to the seller.

Without a doubt, “yes” – a home in the current seller’s market will likely attract more offers without encouraging buyers to perform pre-offer inspections. I mean – I’m not usually as “blunt,” but let’s cut to the chase… one would expect nothing less when buyers have no actual “skin in the game” when placing the offerbeyond their signatures that is (which these days, is often done with a few mouse clicks or screen taps). Moreover, it’s a sad fact in this type of market, that too many poorly written offers are submitted just in hopes that “something sticks.” That’s a waste of everyone’s time, on all sides.

When inventory is effectively almost “zero” in some neighborhoods, it’s a given that there will be ample interest for new listings in the most sought-after price ranges. In such cases, a seller would be smart to “limit the pool” of potential buyers by strategically attracting home buyers who are willing to perform & pay for a pre-inspection, and then submit their highest & best offer after inspection – which includes waiving any home inspection contingency.

What About the “Win-Win” Scenario?

Of course, I represent buyers too – and I fully understand that a hectic seller’s market can be extremely frustrating to navigate… I certainly don’t “enjoy” the situation either. Moving beyond emotional concerns however, the fact remains that sellers hold a very enviable position these days – it’s simply the current reality. During such times, it behooves a seller to maintain their advantage in the market throughout the selling process. The seller should not be “overly concerned” with the buyer’s best interests or desires. This is when I believe the so-called “win-win scenario” is being taken a bit too literally.

This is not to say that buyers & sellers – or their agents – should take an “adversarial” position. Absolutely not! Digging-in one’s heels unjustly, or acting arrogant can derail a transaction – regardless of market conditions. With that said, there’s positively nothing wrong with buyers or sellers fully-leveraging the market to be in their favor – and we owe it to our clients to suggest they take advantage of the nuances in every type of real estate market. For sellers, depending on the circumstances of course, this may mean encouraging buyers to perform home inspections prior placing an offer.

“Pending Inspection” – The Buyer is in Control

In the “typical” scenario, a home goes under contract “Pending Inspection.” The buyer hires an inspector and discovers several issues – not necessarily anything “major.” According to the inspection contingency as written, the buyer is in control at this point, and has absolutely nothing to lose by asking the seller for repairs, or to otherwise amend the monetary aspects of the contract.

When the seller receives the buyer’s inspection response, at this point the seller has two choices – they can either make repairs and/or financially amend the contract, or they’ll decide not to negotiate further, at which point the buyer may choose to terminate or proceed with the purchase. If buyer decides to terminate, the home goes back on the market.

The Seller’s Inspection Conundrum

Despite a “hot” market, this scenario presents a conundrum for the seller. Even if the seller has an offer accepted in back-up position, they must disclose any issues discovered in the inspection which they were made aware of. Each and every inspection item – regardless of severity – is a potential point of negotiation between the buyer & seller, placing the seller at a disadvantage. Savvy buyers will be advised, that sellers would rather avoid placing the home back on the market with an “inspection stain” on the listing, and instead would prefer to work with buyers who are already in contract, and more committed to a deal.

Of course, some sellers may refuse to budge on inspection items – but regardless, it’s definitely not an “ideal” position for the seller to be in. Having been in that position myself numerous times as a seller, I can assure you the inspection period (also known as the “Option Period” in Texas) can make you a nervous wreck, as future plans remain in limbo for what feels like an eternity. Would I personally take advantage of the opportunity to skip an inspection contingency completely? Absolutely – yes – without a doubt!

Other Inspection Contingency Hazards

Buyers Have Moved On:  Meanwhile, while the inspection contingency clock is ticking, other interested buyers have moved on to new opportunities. Buyers have absolutely no time to waste in a hectic seller’s market – it’s less likely in these times that motivated buyers are going to “hang around” on the sidelines, because in doing so, they may miss other options. Sure… new buyers will definitely come along if inventory is severely limited. But the issue remains, that if the contract terminates due to the inspection, “doubt” will be raised by the buyer, and the seller & their agent must disclose the inspection items which have not been repaired. Disclosing isn’t an option – it’s the law.

All Returns Accepted – No Questions Asked!:  The typical inspection contingency in the Seattle market is entirely subjective… no evidence what-so-ever is required in order to terminate. When a home falls out of contract during the inspection period, it’s not necessarily an indication there are any issues with the home – but buyers & agents will think otherwise.

Shopping the Options: Termination could indicate the buyer found another home – a very real hazard in a tight market when a buyer may do most anything to “lock-up” a home using an inspection contingency, while contemplating their options. (Extreme example… but we recently became aware of a situation where a buyer had locked up 3 homes Pending Inspection, using 3 different agents, and 3 different names – personal and corporate entities.)

The fact is, that an Inspection Contingency allows the  buyer the opportunity to “kick the tires” for an agreed-upon duration – during which time they can change their mind for any reason. Of course no one would argue against a buyer’s legitimate desire to fully inspect the property – before or after contract. The question is, why would a seller want to risk a contract being terminated due to inspection issues, when/if it can be avoided?

What Should You Do?

Of course, our job when listing a home for sale is not to “instruct” the seller as to their direction. Rather, we provide guidance and options – and just as in this blog post… discuss the pros and cons of all potential contractual issues, including the Inspection Contingency.

No matter the current market conditions, rarely are there any “easy answers.” Ask a lot of questions of your agent! Being fully informed prior to listing your home for sale will better protect your interests, and pave a winning path towards closing.

 

 

Blog found at Realtor.com 

real estate February 15, 2017

10 Perks For Owning A Home

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Buying a home may be the American dream, but it’s also a monumental task: You have to clean up your credit, apply for a mortgage, scrape together a down payment, and then move all your worldly possessions in after you close on the deal. Phew! So then why do millions of Americans go through the trouble? Because they know that whatever headaches and hassles they must endure are far and away outweighed by the many benefits of buying a home has to offer, check out this top 10  list of perks that will repay your hard work from now well into retirement.

 

  1. Predictable monthly housing payments

A landlord can raise your rent whenever a lease expires—and often by as much as he pleases. But as a homeowner, you can lock in a predictable mortgage payment for as long as 30 years. Bonus: Your housing budget goes toward your homeownership, not your landlord’s.

  1. Appreciation

Owning a home will provide you with a valuable asset and financial stability. By purchasing a home, you’ll have an asset that, in many cases, will appreciate in value over time. A $400,000 home today should see an increase in value to $450,000, $500,000, or more. This makes your home one of the best investments you can make and a way to establish a financial foundation for future generations (aka your kids).

  1. Tax benefits

The many expenses of owning a home—like property taxes and accounting costs—are tax-deductible. The largest deduction is generally the interest you pay on your mortgage. This allows you to keep more of your hard-earned money.

  1. Freedom to make modifications

What renter hasn’t thought “I’d really love to paint/alter/knock down this wall to…”? Well, to do whatever the hell you want to do. But, of course, you can’t—not without the landlord’s blessing. And if you are allowed to renovate your rental, it’s the landlord who will ultimately benefit. (Especially if you do a really awesome job at it.) Homeowners, on the other hand, don’t need permission. They can paint any room any color, replace the cabinets, add a deck, or do any other modifications they wish.

  1. It’s cheaper

Sure, there’s the upfront cost of the down payment and closing.

After that initial down payment, the monthly expense of owning a home is much less than paying rent in the majority of markets in the U.S. According to ReatlyTrac, buying is the more affordable choice in 58% of U.S. markets (figure out costs in your area with the Rent Vs. Buy Calculator). Plus, mortgage rates are currently low, making it an economically wise choice to purchase a home sooner than later.

  1. Increased privacy

Some rentals are constructed of inferior building materials like plywood or shoddy drywall. If your house, townhouse, or condo is built of concrete and stucco, it will provide a greater sound barrier from your neighbors.

  1. Built-in rainy day fund

Homeownership provides you with the opportunity to borrow money on the equity you eventually build up by consistently paying your mortgage. Securing a home equity loan at a relatively low interest rate will condition you to get financing for an emergency, large project, or other expense.

  1. Community ties

Owning a house you plan to stay in for a while also allows you to have an impact on your community with your taxes benefiting local infrastructure, schools, and organizations. You’ll also have a voice—if you wish—in how things are run in your area.

  1. A secure retirement

A home can be the ultimate nest egg, providing you with a great investment for retirement. The longer you own a house, the more it should eventually be worth. If you plan on staying in a home for 30 years, it’s most likely it’ll appreciate 100%. As you get older, you can sell the home and use the proceeds to purchase or rent something smaller. Another option: Rent out the house to maintain a steady income stream so you can travel or use for other recreational activities.

  1. It’s yours!

This may seem fairly obvious, but it’s worth emphasizing: With a rental, you run the risk of getting kicked out at the end of your lease. With a home, you can live there indefinitely. And isn’t there something comforting in knowing there’s a place where you’ll always have a roof over your head?

Use http://julietaylorteam.com/neighborhoodnews to find out the median days on market in your area, number of homes, and other local data that can help you determine how long it will take to sell your home so you can plan accordingly.

Uncategorized January 4, 2017

Real Estate Success Story

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Use http://julietaylorteam.com/neighborhoodnews to find out the median days on market in your area, number of homes, and other local data that can help you determine how long it will take to sell your home so you can plan accordingly.

Uncategorized December 5, 2016

6 Main Elements That Will Impact How Long Your House Stays On The Market- Every Time

 

A home sale timeline can be quick or it can  drag out for months. So how do you avoid being the house that’s sitting on the market? Attract buyers with these 6 factors.

 

 

  • Location: In hot markets such as San Francisco, Seattle or Vancouver B.C homes may spend just a few weeks or less on the market before they sell. In slower markets, and outside the main more desirable neighborhoods can sit twice as long.
  • Price: Expensive homes generally sell more slowly, because fewer buyers can afford them. The pool of possible buyers in the multi million-dollar price point tends to be more selective.
  • Season: In general, sales happen faster in spring and summer, when the weather is nice and families are eager to settle in before school starts. During the winter, sales can be more sluggish.
  • Inventory: Homes in an area with a shortage of homes on the market, like ours, in relation to the demand are more likely to see offers sooner. Homes in neighborhoods with an inventory surplus and fewer buyers stay on the market longer.
  • School districts: Homes in neighborhoods with desirable public schools sell faster than houses in less-than-stellar school districts—and for more money, too.
  • Walkability: Urban houses within strolling distance to public transportation, shopping and dining, are snapped up over homes with limited access to buses, trains, restaurants and dining.

 

 

Use http://julietaylorteam.com/neighborhoodnews to find out the median days on market in your area, number of homes, and other local data that can help you determine how long it will take to sell your home so you can plan accordingly.